Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000590 0.000631 0.000674 0.000721 0.000772 0.000825 0.000884
2025-11-16 0.000522 0.000579 0.000641 0.000712 0.000791 0.000877 0.000978
2025-11-23 0.000478 0.000546 0.000622 0.000712 0.000816 0.000933 0.001075
2025-11-30 0.000441 0.000517 0.000603 0.000709 0.000835 0.000980 0.001162
2025-12-07 0.000411 0.000493 0.000588 0.000707 0.000853 0.001026 0.001247
2025-12-14 0.000383 0.000468 0.000569 0.000698 0.000860 0.001056 0.001313
2025-12-21 0.000358 0.000446 0.000552 0.000690 0.000866 0.001084 0.001377
2025-12-28 0.000330 0.000417 0.000524 0.000666 0.000851 0.001084 0.001403
2026-01-04 0.000309 0.000396 0.000505 0.000652 0.000847 0.001097 0.001446
2026-01-11 0.000295 0.000384 0.000497 0.000651 0.000859 0.001130 0.001515
2026-01-18 0.000284 0.000374 0.000491 0.000652 0.000873 0.001167 0.001591
2026-01-25 0.000269 0.000360 0.000477 0.000643 0.000873 0.001183 0.001637
2026-02-01 0.000252 0.000341 0.000458 0.000627 0.000864 0.001189 0.001674
2026-02-08 0.000239 0.000328 0.000447 0.000620 0.000867 0.001212 0.001736
2026-02-15 0.000230 0.000319 0.000441 0.000621 0.000881 0.001251 0.001823
2026-02-22 0.000221 0.000310 0.000433 0.000618 0.000891 0.001283 0.001901
2026-03-01 0.000212 0.000302 0.000427 0.000617 0.000901 0.001317 0.001983
2026-03-08 0.000202 0.000291 0.000416 0.000609 0.000902 0.001336 0.002041
2026-03-15 0.000193 0.000281 0.000407 0.000602 0.000902 0.001355 0.002100
2026-03-22 0.000181 0.000266 0.000388 0.000581 0.000882 0.001339 0.002105
2026-03-29 0.000172 0.000255 0.000377 0.000570 0.000874 0.001344 0.002140
2026-04-05 0.000166 0.000249 0.000372 0.000569 0.000883 0.001375 0.002220
2026-04-12 0.000162 0.000245 0.000368 0.000570 0.000895 0.001410 0.002309